About PropsMath
PropsLock has to prove it.
PropsMath publishes PropsLock, a quantitative sports forecasting model. It compiles the public signals it can reach on a matchup into a read — with a calibrated probability where the model has earned one — and puts that read on a public record. The whole product is built around a single promise: when PropsLock says 70%, it should be right 70% of the time — numbers that mean exactly what they say. The standard it answers to: a timestamped public record, misses included.
Why it exists
Anyone can be right after the result. PropsLock is built to read before the event starts, on a timestamped public record where anyone can check it. That is the standard PropsMath holds PropsLock to, and when PropsLock misses a graded read, the miss stays on the record.
What we hold ourselves to
- Analytical only. We publish probabilities, not betting advice. We don't take wagers, hold funds, or affiliate with sportsbooks.
- Counted & graded. Graded reads are scored against the official result, hit or miss. A read that goes ungraded — a cancelled bout, or a game we could not grade — counts in neither column.
- No sauce. We show the probability PropsLock published — never a fabricated per-source number.
- Real photos, fairly used. Headshots are CC-licensed, shown unmodified, and credited.
Changelog
A rebuilt site. Records are kept per sport, and graded misses stay on them.
PropsLock began reading college football. Its record begins with the games of Aug 29, 2026 and is kept apart from MMA's.
The public MMA record begins with the first card on May 23, 2026. Graded reads stay on it, misses included.
Contact
General: hello@propsmath.com · Methodology: methodology@propsmath.com · Image takedowns: images@propsmath.com.
PropsMath publishes analytical model probabilities for research and informational purposes. This is not a sportsbook. We do not accept wagers, hold customer funds, or facilitate betting. Past model performance does not predict future results. 21+.