About PropsMath
PropsLock has to prove it.
PropsMath publishes PropsLock, a quantitative sports forecasting model. It compiles every public signal it can reach on a matchup, turns that into one calibrated probability per side, locks it before the contest starts, and grades itself against the result — in public, contest by contest. The whole product is built around a single promise: read the board sharper than the market, and show the receipts.
Why it exists
Anyone can be right after the result. The honest version is a number that's written down before the contest and scored after it — never edited, never quietly deleted. PropsMath is that scoreboard. If PropsLock is wrong, the miss stays on the record and feeds back into the next forecast.
What we hold ourselves to
- Analytical only. We publish probabilities, not betting advice. We don't take wagers, hold funds, or affiliate with sportsbooks.
- Locked & graded. Every forecast is timestamped before the event and scored against the official result.
- No sauce. The Signal Fusion Nexus shows which sources moved a number — never a fabricated per-source probability.
- Real photos, fairly used. Headshots are CC-licensed, shown unmodified, and credited.
Changelog
The atom visual now shows per-source influence and a live PropsLock-vs-market edge on every card.
Every forecast since Oct 2024 is graded against the result and published — calibration, Brier, and gap-to-closing-market.
Forecasts lock before each contest and grade live against the ESPN feed, contest by contest.
Contact
General: hello@propsmath.com · Methodology: methodology@propsmath.com · Image takedowns: images@propsmath.com.
PropsMath publishes analytical model probabilities for research and informational purposes. This is not a sportsbook. We do not accept wagers, hold customer funds, or facilitate betting. Past model performance does not predict future results. 21+.