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PropsMath

Calibrated sports reads on a timestamped public record, misses included.

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PropsLock is the PropsMath forecast model. PropsMath publishes analytical model probabilities for research and informational purposes. This is not a sportsbook. We do not accept wagers, hold customer funds, or facilitate betting. Past model performance does not predict future results. 21+.

© PropsMathBuilt by DevDudeJeremy LLC
OverviewMMACFB

The record · counted reads, graded in public

One record per sport, each with its own denominator.

Every read on the record is timestamped. We grade counted reads against the official result — winners and misses alike. Records are kept per sport and never averaged together: a fight card and a football slate are different populations, and one number over both would describe neither. Open a sport to read its full record.

the records

MMA

MMA record

Level with the market on 14 of 27 graded cards.

Pooled Brier .1730 vs market .1721 · n=244 anchored bouts · lower is better · the margin is small and stated, not hidden

196 / 264 called

Counted reads, graded against the official result — card by card.

CFB

College football record

Counted reads, graded. Misses included.

276 / 357 called

Every graded slate read, in the frame the read was made.

Correction (2026-07-17): 16 historical rows carried a market snapshot captured after their bouts had started. Those snapshots are now excluded from market comparisons. A counted read stays on the record as it was published.