Track record · event
Every recommendation we surfaced for this event, in the order we surfaced them.
moneyline · Baris Adiguzel · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 59.4% vs market 59.6% · edge -0.2pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Gustavo Oliveira · espn
moneyline · Gustavo Oliveira · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 40.6% vs market 40.4% · edge 0.2pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Gustavo Oliveira · espn
moneyline · Benson Henderson · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 8.7% vs market 9.4% · edge -0.7pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Patrick Habirora · espn
moneyline · Taylor Lapilus · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 85.3% vs market 84.9% · edge 0.4pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Taylor Lapilus · espn
moneyline · Jake Hadley · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 14.7% vs market 15.1% · edge -0.4pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Taylor Lapilus · espn
moneyline · Keweny Lopes · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 35.4% vs market 35.0% · edge 0.5pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Adam Meskini · ufc-stats
moneyline · Ashley Reece · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 41.6% vs market 41.1% · edge 0.5pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Ashley Reece · ufc-stats
moneyline · Donegi Abena · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 89.4% vs market 89.1% · edge 0.3pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Donegi Abena · espn
moneyline · Joe Schilling · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 10.6% vs market 10.9% · edge -0.3pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Donegi Abena · espn
moneyline · Khamzat Abaev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 40.0% vs market 40.4% · edge -0.4pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Khamzat Abaev · ufc-stats
moneyline · Luca Poclit · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 60.0% vs market 59.6% · edge 0.4pp
Surfaced May 22, 2026, 9:57 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Khamzat Abaev · ufc-stats
moneyline · Patrick Habirora · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 91.3% vs market 90.6% · edge 0.7pp
Surfaced May 23, 2026, 4:01 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Patrick Habirora · espn
moneyline · Rustam Serbiev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 58.8% vs market 59.6% · edge -0.8pp
Surfaced May 23, 2026, 4:01 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Ashley Reece · ufc-stats
moneyline · Adam Meskini · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 64.6% vs market 65.0% · edge -0.5pp
Surfaced May 23, 2026, 4:01 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Adam Meskini · ufc-stats
moneyline · Marcirley Alves · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 57.3% vs market 49.3% · edge 8.0pp
Surfaced May 23, 2026, 3:49 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Naoki Inoue · espn
moneyline · Naoki Inoue · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 39.4% vs market 50.7% · edge -11.3pp
Surfaced May 23, 2026, 3:49 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Naoki Inoue · espn