Track record · event
The reads we recorded for this event that carry a market line.
moneyline · Ketlen Souza · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 81.2% vs market 74.7% · edge 6.5pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 4:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Ketlen Souza
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 74.9% · market 74.2%. PropsLock was 0.7 percentage points higher than the market.
1,320 captures · Sat, May 30, 9:09 AM EDT to Sun, Jun 7, 12:55 AM EDT. Captures may include different event phases; the locked read and its result are shown above.
| Captured | Phase | PropsLock | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30T13:09:28.457Z | idle | 69.2% | 68.0% |
| 2026-05-30T21:00:24.854Z | approaching | 70.4% | 69.0% |
| 2026-05-30T21:05:21.311Z | approaching | 70.4% | 69.0% |
| 2026-05-30T21:15:20.568Z | approaching | 70.4% | 69.0% |
| 2026-05-30T21:25:24.131Z | approaching | 70.4% | 69.0% |
| 2026-05-30T21:35:20.506Z | approaching | 70.4% | 69.0% |
moneyline · Ariane Carnelossi · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 20.3% vs market 25.3% · edge -5.0pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 4:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Ketlen Souza
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 25.1% · market 25.8%. PropsLock was 0.7 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Jeisla Chaves · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 73.7% vs market 70.4% · edge 3.3pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:26 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Jeisla Chaves
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 70.9% · market 70.4%. PropsLock was 0.5 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Yuneisy Duben · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 27.4% vs market 29.6% · edge -2.2pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:26 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Jeisla Chaves
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 29.1% · market 29.6%. PropsLock was 0.5 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Jordan Leavitt · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 42.3% vs market 39.8% · edge 2.5pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:41 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Joanderson Brito
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 39.8% · market 39.8%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Joanderson Brito · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 57.7% vs market 60.2% · edge -2.5pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:41 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Joanderson Brito
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 60.2% · market 60.2%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Belal Muhammad · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 43.7%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Gabriel Bonfim
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 46.3% · market 51.1%. PropsLock was 4.9 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Gabriel Bonfim · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 50.3%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Gabriel Bonfim
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 53.7% · market 48.9%. PropsLock was 4.9 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Brendan Allen · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 62.6%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Brendan Allen
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 62.9% · market 62.7%. PropsLock was 0.1 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Edmen Shahbazyan · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 39.6%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Brendan Allen
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 37.1% · market 37.3%. PropsLock was 0.1 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Fares Ziam · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 74.4%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Tom Nolan
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 71.8% · market 73.5%. PropsLock was 1.6 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Tom Nolan · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 26.7%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Tom Nolan
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 28.2% · market 26.5%. PropsLock was 1.6 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Bryce Mitchell · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 47.3%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Bryce Mitchell
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 50.0% · market 52.9%. PropsLock was 2.9 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Santiago Luna · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 45.1%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Bryce Mitchell
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 50.0% · market 47.1%. PropsLock was 2.9 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Iwo Baraniewski · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 85.7% vs market 80.0% · edge 5.7pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Iwo Baraniewski
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 80.6% · market 78.0%. PropsLock was 2.5 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Junior Tafa · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 14.6% vs market 20.0% · edge -5.4pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Iwo Baraniewski
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 19.4% · market 22.0%. PropsLock was 2.5 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Alessandro Costa · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 86.8% vs market 79.2% · edge 7.6pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Alessandro Costa
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 80.8% · market 78.3%. PropsLock was 2.6 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Matt Schnell · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 13.7% vs market 20.8% · edge -7.2pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Alessandro Costa
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 19.2% · market 21.7%. PropsLock was 2.6 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Marcus McGhee · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 85.5%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Marcus McGhee
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 80.7% · market 80.6%. PropsLock was 0.1 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · John Yannis · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 14.9%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Marcus McGhee
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 19.3% · market 19.4%. PropsLock was 0.1 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Chelsea Chandler · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 52.6% vs market 54.1% · edge -1.5pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Chelsea Chandler
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 55.0% · market 54.1%. PropsLock was 0.9 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Priscila Cachoeira · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 45.0% vs market 45.9% · edge -0.9pp
Surfaced Jun 6, 2026, 6:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Chelsea Chandler
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 45.0% · market 45.9%. PropsLock was 0.9 percentage points lower than the market.