Track record · event
The reads we recorded for this event that carry a market line.
moneyline · Manel Kape · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 60.8% vs market 59.5% · edge 1.3pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Manel Kape
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 63.9% · market 61.4%. PropsLock was 2.5 percentage points higher than the market.
1,069 captures · Sun, Jun 14, 9:20 PM EDT to Sat, Jun 20, 10:15 PM EDT. Captures may include different event phases; the locked read and its result are shown above.
Separately recorded closing market: 59.5%.
| Captured | Phase | PropsLock | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15T01:20:16.131Z | approaching | 62.6% | 60.0% |
| 2026-06-15T01:25:17.314Z | approaching | 62.6% | 60.0% |
| 2026-06-15T01:35:28.993Z | approaching | 62.6% | 60.0% |
| 2026-06-15T01:45:29.025Z | approaching | 62.6% | 60.0% |
| 2026-06-15T01:55:43.094Z | approaching | 62.6% | 60.0% |
| 2026-06-15T02:05:42.718Z | approaching | 62.6% |
moneyline · Kyoji Horiguchi · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 39.2% vs market 40.5% · edge -1.3pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Manel Kape
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 36.1% · market 38.6%. PropsLock was 2.5 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Ion Cutelaba · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 15.2% vs market 25.1% · edge -9.9pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Navajo Stirling
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 20.2% · market 23.0%. PropsLock was 2.8 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Navajo Stirling · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 84.8% vs market 74.9% · edge 9.9pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Navajo Stirling
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 79.8% · market 77.0%. PropsLock was 2.8 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Vinicius Oliveira · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 75.4% vs market 69.9% · edge 5.4pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Vinicius Oliveira
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 73.0% · market 70.9%. PropsLock was 2.1 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Andre Fili · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 24.6% vs market 30.1% · edge -5.4pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Vinicius Oliveira
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 27.0% · market 29.1%. PropsLock was 2.1 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Christian Rodriguez · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 70.0% vs market 65.0% · edge 5.0pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Christian Rodriguez
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 70.9% · market 67.5%. PropsLock was 3.4 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Hyder Amil · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 30.0% vs market 35.0% · edge -5.0pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Christian Rodriguez
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 29.1% · market 32.5%. PropsLock was 3.4 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Melsik Baghdasaryan · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 15.0% vs market 22.4% · edge -7.4pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Murtazali Magomedov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 17.7% · market 20.7%. PropsLock was 3.0 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Murtazali Magomedov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 85.0% vs market 77.6% · edge 7.4pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Murtazali Magomedov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 82.3% · market 79.3%. PropsLock was 3.0 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Mitch Raposo · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 38.9% vs market 40.6% · edge -1.7pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Mitch Raposo
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 40.5% · market 40.8%. PropsLock was 0.3 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Allan Nascimento · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 61.1% vs market 59.4% · edge 1.7pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Mitch Raposo
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 59.5% · market 59.2%. PropsLock was 0.3 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Karol Rosa · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 51.4% vs market 50.8% · edge 0.6pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Luana Santos
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 47.4% · market 50.8%. PropsLock was 3.4 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Luana Santos · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 48.6% vs market 49.2% · edge -0.6pp
Surfaced Jun 14, 2026, 9:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Luana Santos
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 52.6% · market 49.2%. PropsLock was 3.4 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Leon Shahbazyan · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 21.2% vs market 24.3% · edge -3.1pp
Surfaced Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Levan Chokheli
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 21.5% · market 24.2%. PropsLock was 2.7 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Levan Chokheli · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 78.8% vs market 75.7% · edge 3.1pp
Surfaced Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Levan Chokheli
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 78.5% · market 75.8%. PropsLock was 2.7 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Otari Tanzilovi · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 31.0% vs market 35.7% · edge -4.7pp
Surfaced Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Shane Collins
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 30.8% · market 34.5%. PropsLock was 3.7 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Shane Collins · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 69.0% vs market 64.3% · edge 4.7pp
Surfaced Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Shane Collins
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 69.2% · market 65.5%. PropsLock was 3.7 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Bia Mesquita · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 87.2% vs market 83.0% · edge 4.2pp
Surfaced Jun 17, 2026, 9:39 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Bia Mesquita
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 85.5% · market 83.7%. PropsLock was 1.9 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Melissa Mullins · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 12.8% vs market 17.0% · edge -4.2pp
Surfaced Jun 17, 2026, 9:39 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Bia Mesquita
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 14.5% · market 16.3%. PropsLock was 1.9 percentage points lower than the market.