Track record · event
The reads we recorded for this event that carry a market line.
moneyline · Rafael Fiziev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 48.0% vs market 49.9% · edge -1.9pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Rafael Fiziev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 47.8% · market 49.2%. PropsLock was 1.4 percentage points lower than the market.
1,231 captures · Sat, Jun 20, 10:25 PM EDT to Sat, Jun 27, 3:00 PM EDT. Captures may include different event phases; the locked read and its result are shown above.
Separately recorded closing market: 49.9%.
| Captured | Phase | PropsLock | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21T02:25:14.966Z | approaching | 51.8% | 52.4% |
| 2026-06-21T02:35:13.700Z | approaching | 51.8% | 52.4% |
| 2026-06-21T02:40:15.494Z | approaching | 51.8% | 52.4% |
| 2026-06-21T02:50:13.957Z | approaching | 51.8% | 52.4% |
| 2026-06-21T03:00:14.022Z | approaching | 51.8% | 52.4% |
| 2026-06-21T03:05:12.918Z | approaching | 51.8% |
moneyline · Manuel Torres · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 52.0% vs market 50.1% · edge 1.9pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Rafael Fiziev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 52.2% · market 50.8%. PropsLock was 1.4 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Shara Magomedov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 81.9%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Shara Magomedov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 80.4% · market 78.6%. PropsLock was 1.8 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Michel Pereira · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 18.1%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Shara Magomedov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 19.6% · market 21.4%. PropsLock was 1.8 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Nazim Sadykhov · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 70.2% vs market 63.0% · edge 7.2pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Matheus Camilo
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 63.8% · market 63.0%. PropsLock was 0.8 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Matheus Camilo · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 29.8% vs market 37.0% · edge -7.2pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Matheus Camilo
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 36.2% · market 37.0%. PropsLock was 0.8 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Brunno Ferreira · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 24.6% vs market 29.7% · edge -5.1pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Ikram Aliskerov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 27.8% · market 29.7%. PropsLock was 1.9 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Ikram Aliskerov · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 75.4% vs market 70.3% · edge 5.1pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Ikram Aliskerov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 72.2% · market 70.3%. PropsLock was 1.9 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Farman Hasanov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 64.3% vs market 60.3% · edge 4.1pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Farman Hasanov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 62.0% · market 60.3%. PropsLock was 1.8 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Eric Nolan · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 35.7% vs market 39.7% · edge -4.1pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Farman Hasanov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 38.0% · market 39.7%. PropsLock was 1.8 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Daniil Donchenko · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 86.7% vs market 80.3% · edge 6.4pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Daniil Donchenko
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 82.4% · market 81.0%. PropsLock was 1.3 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Theodor Berggren · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 13.3% vs market 19.7% · edge -6.4pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Daniil Donchenko
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 17.6% · market 19.0%. PropsLock was 1.3 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Bekzat Almakhan · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 38.3% vs market 38.7% · edge -0.4pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Jean Matsumoto
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 36.3% · market 38.7%. PropsLock was 2.4 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Jean Matsumoto · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 61.7% vs market 61.3% · edge 0.4pp
Surfaced Jun 20, 2026, 10:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Jean Matsumoto
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 63.7% · market 61.3%. PropsLock was 2.4 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Asu Almabayev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 77.8% vs market 74.7% · edge 3.1pp
Surfaced Jun 21, 2026, 12:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Asu Almabayev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 73.5% · market 72.6%. PropsLock was 1.0 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Charles Johnson · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 22.2% vs market 25.3% · edge -3.1pp
Surfaced Jun 21, 2026, 12:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Asu Almabayev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 26.5% · market 27.4%. PropsLock was 1.0 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 90.3% vs market 83.1% · edge 7.2pp
Surfaced Jun 21, 2026, 12:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 85.5% · market 83.4%. PropsLock was 2.2 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Julius Walker · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 9.7% vs market 16.9% · edge -7.2pp
Surfaced Jun 21, 2026, 12:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 14.5% · market 16.6%. PropsLock was 2.2 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Nursulton Ruziboev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 66.7% vs market 61.8% · edge 4.9pp
Surfaced Jun 21, 2026, 12:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Nursulton Ruziboev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 62.0% · market 62.1%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Andrey Pulyaev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 33.3% vs market 38.2% · edge -4.9pp
Surfaced Jun 21, 2026, 12:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Nursulton Ruziboev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 38.0% · market 37.9%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Kaan Ofli · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 25.4% vs market 33.1% · edge -7.7pp
Surfaced Jun 21, 2026, 12:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Kaan Ofli
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 32.7% · market 32.9%. PropsLock was 0.2 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Javier Reyes · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 74.6% vs market 66.9% · edge 7.7pp
Surfaced Jun 21, 2026, 12:55 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Kaan Ofli
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 67.3% · market 67.1%. PropsLock was 0.2 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Tahir Abdullayev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 43.7% vs market 42.5% · edge 1.2pp
Surfaced Jun 23, 2026, 3:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Tahir Abdullayev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 44.1% · market 42.9%. PropsLock was 1.1 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Jefferson Nascimento · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 56.3% vs market 57.5% · edge -1.2pp
Surfaced Jun 23, 2026, 3:17 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Tahir Abdullayev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 55.9% · market 57.1%. PropsLock was 1.1 percentage points lower than the market.