Track record · event
The reads we recorded for this event that carry a market line.
45 reads on this card have not graded, and their figures are part of the paid product. All 45 reads closed without a result, so their probability and market figures are not published on this page. All 45 reads carry no receipt, so no hash is printed for them.
moneyline · Dricus Du Plessis · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 73.6% vs market 66.2% · edge 7.3pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Dricus Du Plessis
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 69.0% · market 65.1%. PropsLock was 3.9 percentage points higher than the market.
1,280 captures · Sat, Jul 11, 11:50 PM EDT to Sat, Jul 18, 11:10 PM EDT. Captures may include different event phases; the locked read and its result are shown above.
Separately recorded closing market: 66.2%.
| Captured | Phase | PropsLock | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12T03:50:33.087Z | approaching | 72.8% | 70.1% |
| 2026-07-12T03:55:30.840Z | approaching | 73.1% | 70.1% |
| 2026-07-12T04:05:32.831Z | approaching | 73.1% | 70.1% |
| 2026-07-12T04:10:30.766Z | approaching | 73.1% | 70.1% |
| 2026-07-12T04:15:39.380Z | approaching | 73.1% | 70.1% |
| 2026-07-12T04:20:30.818Z | approaching | 73.1% |
moneyline · Kamaru Usman · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 26.4% vs market 33.8% · edge -7.3pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Dricus Du Plessis
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 31.0% · market 34.9%. PropsLock was 3.9 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Jared Cannonier · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 17.3% vs market 25.5% · edge -8.2pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Christian Leroy Duncan
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 23.1% · market 25.1%. PropsLock was 2.1 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Christian Leroy Duncan · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 82.7% vs market 74.5% · edge 8.2pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Christian Leroy Duncan
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 76.9% · market 74.9%. PropsLock was 2.1 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Chase Hooper · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 78.3% vs market 74.9% · edge 3.4pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Chase Hooper
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 76.9% · market 75.2%. PropsLock was 1.7 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Mitch Ramirez · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 21.7% vs market 25.1% · edge -3.4pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Chase Hooper
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 23.1% · market 24.8%. PropsLock was 1.7 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Tabatha Ricci · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 12.5% vs market 20.3% · edge -7.8pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Fatima Kline
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 16.9% · market 17.9%. PropsLock was 1.0 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Fatima Kline · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 87.5% vs market 79.7% · edge 7.8pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Fatima Kline
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 83.1% · market 82.1%. PropsLock was 1.0 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Tommy McMillen · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 72.8% vs market 64.3% · edge 8.5pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Tommy McMillen
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 65.5% · market 64.3%. PropsLock was 1.2 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Alberto Montes · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 27.2% vs market 35.7% · edge -8.5pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Tommy McMillen
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 34.5% · market 35.7%. PropsLock was 1.2 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Dione Barbosa · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 89.3% vs market 84.6% · edge 4.7pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Dione Barbosa
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 83.1% · market 84.6%. PropsLock was 1.5 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Anna Melisano · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 10.7% vs market 15.4% · edge -4.7pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Dione Barbosa
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 16.9% · market 15.4%. PropsLock was 1.5 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Jose Delgado · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 42.6% vs market 44.7% · edge -2.1pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Jose Miguel Delgado
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 44.2% · market 44.7%. PropsLock was 0.5 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Austin Bashi · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 57.4% vs market 55.3% · edge 2.1pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Jose Miguel Delgado
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 55.8% · market 55.3%. PropsLock was 0.5 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Alden Coria · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 93.9% vs market 88.0% · edge 5.9pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Alden Coria
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 89.6% · market 89.3%. PropsLock was 0.3 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Stewart Nicoll · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 6.1% vs market 12.0% · edge -5.9pp
Surfaced Jul 11, 2026, 11:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Alden Coria
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 10.4% · market 10.7%. PropsLock was 0.3 percentage points lower than the market.
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
moneyline · Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 33.0% vs market 37.8% · edge -4.9pp
Surfaced Jul 12, 2026, 11:29 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 5.0% · market not captured.
moneyline · Alvin Hines · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 51.7% vs market 51.4% · edge 0.3pp
Surfaced Jul 12, 2026, 12:23 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved RJ Harris
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 46.2% · market 51.0%. PropsLock was 4.8 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · RJ Harris · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 48.3% vs market 48.6% · edge -0.3pp
Surfaced Jul 12, 2026, 12:23 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved RJ Harris
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 53.8% · market 49.0%. PropsLock was 4.8 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Damien Anderson · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 59.0% vs market 53.2% · edge 5.8pp
Surfaced Jul 14, 2026, 10:07 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Ezra Elliott
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 50.0% · market not captured.
moneyline · Ezra Elliott · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 41.0% vs market 46.8% · edge -5.8pp
Surfaced Jul 14, 2026, 10:07 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Ezra Elliott
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 50.0% · market not captured.
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
moneyline · Levi Rodrigues · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 56.9% vs market 57.6% · edge -0.7pp
Surfaced Jul 15, 2026, 10:18 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Felipe Franco
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 71.0% · market not captured.
moneyline · Felipe Franco · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 43.1% vs market 42.4% · edge 0.7pp
Surfaced Jul 15, 2026, 10:18 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Felipe Franco
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 29.0% · market not captured.
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page