Track record · event

PFL San Siego Mckee vs Isbulaev

Every recommendation we surfaced for this event, in the order we surfaced them.

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moneyline · Liz Carmouche · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 66.2% vs market 61.5% · edge 4.7pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Liz Carmouche · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
PropsLock probability market probability
- Point 1: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 2: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 3: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 4: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 5: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 6: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 7: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 8: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 9: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 10: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 11: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 12: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 13: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 14: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 15: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 16: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 17: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 18: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 19: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 20: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 21: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 22: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 23: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 24: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 25: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 26: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 27: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 28: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 29: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 30: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 31: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 32: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 33: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 34: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 35: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 36: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 37: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 38: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 39: PropsLock 62%, market 62%.
- Point 40: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 41: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 42: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 43: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 44: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 45: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 46: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 47: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 48: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 49: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 50: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 51: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 52: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 53: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 54: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
- Point 55: PropsLock 61%, market 62%.
moneyline · Viviane Araujo · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 33.8% vs market 38.5% · edge -4.7pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Liz Carmouche · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Alexander Shabliy · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 85.0% vs market 81.7% · edge 3.3pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Alexander Shabliy · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Alfie Davis · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 15.0% vs market 18.3% · edge -3.3pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Alexander Shabliy · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Abraham Bably · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 70.9% vs market 63.1% · edge 7.8pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Rob Wilkinson · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Rob Wilkinson · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 29.1% vs market 36.9% · edge -7.8pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Rob Wilkinson · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Khasan Magomedsharipov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 94.2%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Khasan Magomedsharipov · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Joshua Weems · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 5.8%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Khasan Magomedsharipov · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Ariane Lipski · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 57.1% vs market 53.8% · edge 3.4pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Jena Bishop · wikipedia
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market moved 7.7 pts after opening level with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Jena Bishop · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 42.9% vs market 46.2% · edge -3.4pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Jena Bishop · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market moved 7.7 pts after opening level with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Shannon Clark · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 74.6% vs market 71.2% · edge 3.4pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Shannon Clark · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Ilara Joanne · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 25.4% vs market 28.8% · edge -3.4pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Shannon Clark · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Cobey Fehr · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 91.2% vs market 86.7% · edge 4.5pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Cobey Fehr · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.
moneyline · Daniel Bzdigian · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 8.8% vs market 13.3% · edge -4.5pp
Surfaced Jun 27, 2026, 3:13 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Cobey Fehr · espn
Show PropsLock-vs-market timeline
The market stayed in line with PropsLock.
How the market's number moved as the fight approached — and where PropsLock stood.

Point 56: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

Point 57: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

Point 58: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

Point 59: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

Point 60: PropsLock 63%, market 61%.

Point 61: PropsLock 63%, market 61%.

Point 62: PropsLock 63%, market 61%.

Point 63: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

Point 64: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

Point 65: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

Point 66: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

Point 67: PropsLock 61%, market 61%.

PropsLock probability market probability

Point 1: PropsLock 52%, market 52%.
Point 2: PropsLock 52%, market 52%.
Point 3: PropsLock 52%, market 52%.
Point 4: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 5: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 6: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 7: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 8: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 9: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 10: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 11: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 12: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 13: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 14: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 15: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 16: PropsLock 51%, market 52%.
Point 17: PropsLock 52%, market 54%.
Point 18: PropsLock 52%, market 54%.
Point 19: PropsLock 52%, market 54%.
Point 20: PropsLock 52%, market 54%.
Point 21: PropsLock 52%, market 54%.
Point 22: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 23: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 24: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 25: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 26: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 27: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 28: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 29: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 30: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 31: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 32: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 33: PropsLock 56%, market 55%.
Point 34: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 35: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 36: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 37: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 38: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 39: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 40: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 41: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 42: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 43: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 44: PropsLock 55%, market 54%.
Point 45: PropsLock 47%, market 44%.
Point 46: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 47: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 48: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 49: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 50: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 51: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 52: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 53: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 54: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 55: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 56: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 57: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 58: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 59: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 60: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 61: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 62: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 63: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 64: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 65: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 66: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.
Point 67: PropsLock 52%, market not captured.

PropsLock probability market probability

Point 1: PropsLock 48%, market 48%.
Point 2: PropsLock 48%, market 48%.
Point 3: PropsLock 48%, market 48%.
Point 4: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 5: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 6: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 7: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 8: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 9: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 10: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 11: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 12: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 13: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 14: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 15: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 16: PropsLock 49%, market 48%.
Point 17: PropsLock 48%, market 46%.
Point 18: PropsLock 48%, market 46%.
Point 19: PropsLock 48%, market 46%.
Point 20: PropsLock 48%, market 46%.
Point 21: PropsLock 48%, market 46%.
Point 22: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 23: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 24: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 25: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 26: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 27: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 28: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 29: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 30: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 31: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 32: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 33: PropsLock 44%, market 45%.
Point 34: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 35: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 36: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 37: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 38: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 39: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 40: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 41: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 42: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 43: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 44: PropsLock 45%, market 46%.
Point 45: PropsLock 53%, market 56%.
Point 46: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 47: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 48: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 49: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 50: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 51: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 52: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 53: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 54: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 55: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 56: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 57: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 58: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 59: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 60: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 61: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 62: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 63: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 64: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 65: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 66: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.
Point 67: PropsLock 48%, market not captured.

PropsLock probability market probability