Track record · event
Every recommendation we surfaced for this event, in the order we surfaced them.
moneyline · Borena Tsertsvadze · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 87.0%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 5:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Victoria Alba · espn
moneyline · Victoria Alba · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 13.0%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 5:47 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Victoria Alba · espn
moneyline · Jackson Glass · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 96.7% vs market 92.0% · edge 4.7pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 6:15 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Jackson Glass · espn
moneyline · Zak Flessas · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 3.3% vs market 8.0% · edge -4.7pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 6:15 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Jackson Glass · espn
moneyline · Mia Grawe · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 24.6% vs market 24.4% · edge 0.2pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 6:23 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Ashley Thiner · espn
moneyline · Ashley Thiner · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 75.4% vs market 75.6% · edge -0.2pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 6:23 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Ashley Thiner · espn
moneyline · Biaggio Ali Walsh · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 11.3% vs market 15.5% · edge -4.3pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 7:32 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Gamid Khizriev · espn
moneyline · Gamid Khizriev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 88.7% vs market 84.5% · edge 4.3pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 7:32 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Gamid Khizriev · espn
moneyline · Johnny Eblen · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 84.2% vs market 82.3% · edge 1.9pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 8:12 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Johnny Eblen · espn
moneyline · Impa Kasanganay · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 15.8% vs market 17.7% · edge -1.9pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 8:12 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Johnny Eblen · espn
moneyline · Jesus Pinedo · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 97.1%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 8:16 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Jesus Pinedo · espn
moneyline · Joey Ruquet · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 2.9%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 8:16 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Jesus Pinedo · espn
moneyline · Lewis McGrillen · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 92.5%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 9:20 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Rafael do Nascimento · espn
moneyline · Rafael do Nascimento · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 7.5%Market snapshot recorded after the bout began — excluded from PropsLock-vs-market comparison. PropsLock read and result unchanged.
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 9:20 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Rafael do Nascimento · espn