Track record · event
The reads we recorded for this event that carry a market line.
2 reads on this card have not graded, and their figures are part of the paid product. Both reads closed without a result, so their probability and market figures are not published on this page. Both reads carry no receipt, so no hash is printed for them.
moneyline · Magomed Ankalaev · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 86.6% vs market 83.1% · edge 3.4pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Magomed Ankalaev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 84.3% · market 83.1%. PropsLock was 1.1 percentage points higher than the market.
1,234 captures · Sat, Jul 18, 11:15 PM EDT to Sat, Jul 25, 2:50 PM EDT. Captures may include different event phases; the locked read and its result are shown above.
Separately recorded closing market: 83.1%.
| Captured | Phase | PropsLock | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19T03:15:57.849Z | approaching | 79.8% | 79.7% |
| 2026-07-19T03:25:22.917Z | approaching | 80.0% | 79.7% |
| 2026-07-19T03:30:16.658Z | approaching | 80.0% | 79.7% |
| 2026-07-19T03:35:19.399Z | approaching | 80.0% | 79.7% |
| 2026-07-19T03:45:22.379Z | approaching | 80.0% | 79.7% |
| 2026-07-19T03:55:21.137Z | approaching | 80.0% |
moneyline · Bogdan Guskov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 13.4% vs market 16.9% · edge -3.4pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Magomed Ankalaev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 15.7% · market 16.9%. PropsLock was 1.1 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Steve Erceg · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 44.1% vs market 49.7% · edge -5.6pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Ramazan Temirov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 45.3% · market 48.2%. PropsLock was 2.8 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Ramazan Temirov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 55.9% vs market 50.3% · edge 5.6pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Ramazan Temirov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 54.7% · market 51.8%. PropsLock was 2.8 percentage points higher than the market.
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
moneyline · Damian Rzepecki · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 26.5% vs market 30.6% · edge -4.1pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Magomed Zaynukov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 32.3% · market 30.4%. PropsLock was 1.9 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Magomed Zaynukov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 73.5% vs market 69.4% · edge 4.1pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Magomed Zaynukov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 67.7% · market 69.6%. PropsLock was 1.9 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Rizvan Kuniev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 76.1% vs market 73.5% · edge 2.6pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Rizvan Kuniev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 71.6% · market 73.7%. PropsLock was 2.1 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Tyrell Fortune · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 23.9% vs market 26.5% · edge -2.6pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Rizvan Kuniev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 28.4% · market 26.3%. PropsLock was 2.1 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Valter Walker · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 67.7% vs market 62.5% · edge 5.2pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Valter Walker
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 63.9% · market 63.2%. PropsLock was 0.7 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Thomas Petersen · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 32.3% vs market 37.5% · edge -5.2pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Valter Walker
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 36.1% · market 36.8%. PropsLock was 0.7 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Dustin Jacoby · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 62.8% vs market 62.2% · edge 0.6pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Muhammad Said
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 59.9% · market 62.0%. PropsLock was 2.1 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Muhammad Said · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 37.2% vs market 37.8% · edge -0.6pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Muhammad Said
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 40.1% · market 38.0%. PropsLock was 2.1 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Sam Patterson · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 87.1% vs market 80.0% · edge 7.1pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Sam Patterson
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 83.7% · market 82.4%. PropsLock was 1.2 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Santiago Ponzinibbio · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 12.9% vs market 20.0% · edge -7.1pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Sam Patterson
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 16.3% · market 17.6%. PropsLock was 1.2 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Ismael Bonfim · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 29.8% vs market 36.2% · edge -6.5pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Axel Sola
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 35.8% · market 36.1%. PropsLock was 0.3 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Axel Sola · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 70.2% vs market 63.8% · edge 6.5pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Axel Sola
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 64.2% · market 63.9%. PropsLock was 0.3 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Brendson Ribeiro · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 9.6% vs market 13.1% · edge -3.5pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Magomed Tuchalov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 12.0% · market 12.0%. PropsLock was 0.1 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Magomed Tuchalov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 90.4% vs market 86.9% · edge 3.5pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Magomed Tuchalov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 88.0% · market 88.0%. PropsLock was 0.1 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Nurullo Aliev · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 73.8% vs market 66.4% · edge 7.3pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Nurullo Aliev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 67.8% · market 66.5%. PropsLock was 1.3 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Mike Davis · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 26.2% vs market 33.6% · edge -7.3pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Nurullo Aliev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 32.2% · market 33.5%. PropsLock was 1.3 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Abdul Hussein · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 86.6% vs market 82.5% · edge 4.1pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Abdul Hussein
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 83.6% · market 84.5%. PropsLock was 0.9 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Cody Gibson · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 13.4% vs market 17.5% · edge -4.1pp
Surfaced Jul 18, 2026, 11:22 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Abdul Hussein
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 16.4% · market 15.5%. PropsLock was 0.9 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Saygid Izagakhmaev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 27.8% vs market 34.2% · edge -6.4pp
Surfaced Jul 21, 2026, 10:31 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Abubakar Vagaev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 36.0% · market 34.0%. PropsLock was 2.0 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Abubakar Vagaev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 72.2% vs market 65.8% · edge 6.4pp
Surfaced Jul 21, 2026, 10:31 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Abubakar Vagaev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 64.0% · market 66.0%. PropsLock was 2.0 percentage points lower than the market.