Track record · event
The reads we recorded for this event that carry a market line.
4 reads on this card have not graded, and their figures are part of the paid product. All 4 reads closed without a result, so their probability and market figures are not published on this page. All 4 reads carry no receipt, so no hash is printed for them.
moneyline · Usman Nurmagomedov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 88.3% vs market 83.4% · edge 4.9pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Usman Nurmagomedov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 84.5% · market 83.5%. PropsLock was 1.0 percentage points higher than the market.
1,052 captures · Sun, Jul 26, 12:10 AM EDT to Fri, Jul 31, 8:45 PM EDT. Captures may include different event phases; the locked read and its result are shown above.
Separately recorded closing market: 83.4%.
| Captured | Phase | PropsLock | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26T04:10:24.307Z | approaching | 50.0% | Not captured |
| 2026-07-26T04:20:19.002Z | approaching | 50.0% | Not captured |
| 2026-07-26T04:25:18.686Z | approaching | 50.0% | Not captured |
| 2026-07-26T04:30:21.788Z | approaching | 50.0% | Not captured |
| 2026-07-26T04:40:19.199Z | approaching | 50.0% | Not captured |
| 2026-07-26T04:50:19.006Z | approaching | 50.0% | Not captured |
| 2026-07-26T04:55:17.821Z |
moneyline · Archie Colgan · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 11.7% vs market 16.6% · edge -4.9pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Usman Nurmagomedov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 15.5% · market 16.5%. PropsLock was 1.0 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Dakota Ditcheva · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 92.6% vs market 94.4% · edge -1.8pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Dakota Ditcheva
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 94.4% · market 94.4%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Denise Kielholtz · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 7.4% vs market 5.6% · edge 1.8pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Dakota Ditcheva
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 5.6% · market 5.6%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Amru Magomedov · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 92.2% vs market 93.2% · edge -1.0pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Amru Magomedov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 93.2% · market 93.2%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.
moneyline · Angel Alvarez · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 7.8% vs market 6.8% · edge 1.0pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Amru Magomedov
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 6.8% · market 6.8%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
moneyline · Montana De La Rosa · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 28.9% vs market 32.9% · edge -4.0pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Tatiana Postarnakova
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 32.9% · market 32.9%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.
moneyline · Tatiana Postarnakova · tier: Top Forecast
PropsLock 71.1% vs market 67.1% · edge 4.0pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Tatiana Postarnakova
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 67.1% · market 67.1%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.
moneyline · Raufeon Stots · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 38.3% vs market 41.0% · edge -2.7pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Lazaro Dayron
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 41.0% · market 41.0%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.
moneyline · Lazaro Dayron · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 61.7% vs market 59.0% · edge 2.7pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Lazaro Dayron
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 59.0% · market 59.0%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.
moneyline · Omar El Dafrawy · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 36.1% vs market 39.3% · edge -3.2pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Omar El Dafrawy
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 38.6% · market 38.6%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points lower than the market.
moneyline · Levan Khabalaev · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 87.5% vs market 82.5% · edge 5.0pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Levan Khabalaev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 83.3% · market 83.3%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.
moneyline · Sean Gauci · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 72.4% vs market 68.8% · edge 3.6pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock correct · resolved Sean Gauci
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 69.4% · market 69.4%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points higher than the market.
moneyline · Allan Begosso · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 27.6% vs market 31.2% · edge -3.6pp
Surfaced Jul 26, 2026, 12:17 AM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Sean Gauci
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 30.6% · market 30.6%. PropsLock was 0.0 percentage points lower than the market.
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
closed without a result — probability and market figures are not published on this page
moneyline · Jonathan Piersma · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 63.9% vs market 60.7% · edge 3.2pp
Surfaced Jul 28, 2026, 5:58 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Omar El Dafrawy
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 61.4% · market 61.4%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.
moneyline · Chamy Delva · tier: Below threshold
PropsLock 12.5% vs market 17.5% · edge -5.0pp
Surfaced Jul 28, 2026, 5:58 PM
No receipt — this read predates the receipt mechanism (receipts begin 2026-08-06).
PropsLock missed · resolved Levan Khabalaev
Recorded PropsLock and market probabilities over time. Lines connect captures; they do not add readings between them.
Latest capture: PropsLock 16.7% · market 16.7%. The two probabilities matched at this capture.