PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Jena Bishop"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.22729721227957012"
market_implied_probability="0.24572205491537966"
edge="-0.01842484263580954"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T13:55:16.045Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="8dc465c41c36ad2ddeaff65d4ab2885e24635ce1f0c578d36c0009e07a57f953"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Timur Khizriev"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.7796234667081017"
market_implied_probability="0.7744034707158352"
edge="0.005219995992266524"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:16.187Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="f54a0b523216a2b4679d4d744e7585e1a383d894547dc522fe07fa5cabe60e3b"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Gabriel Braga"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.2203765332918983"
market_implied_probability="0.22559652928416485"
edge="-0.005219995992266552"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:16.210Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="46b33a05ae0cb40146030c5beb3c5bedd84a7bff1bd59c2530031e4d19dd3fd2"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Oualy Tandia"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.7105730711279317"
market_implied_probability="0.679245283018868"
edge="0.03132778810906367"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:17.109Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="2dbc1e6ac1b5d0cbe25cb00cadc6de86af3964c92d4a553830aee95daf887ebc"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="J.P. Saint Louis"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.28942692887206817"
market_implied_probability="0.3207547169811321"
edge="-0.03132778810906395"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:17.160Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="010f1c0393a88de10dccddb60f0929a8f0cea70c9dde5df91805a61a034217f0"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Emiliano Sordi"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.29152397441820666"
market_implied_probability="0.32357770694484694"
edge="-0.03205373252664029"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:18.214Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="791778b9aab8851f046aea7ffbc58d21f7fee1a456231f819056a817a1e7d7a7"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Abraham Bably"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.7084760255817932"
market_implied_probability="0.6764222930551531"
edge="0.03205373252664012"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:18.252Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="deaf6c441df33ed1bbbae1f89beb388a4f1f1cc8b81aae82ba0acd855ba5a403"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Shannon Clark"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.7925622695962705"
market_implied_probability="0.8032786885245903"
edge="-0.01071641892831976"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:19.112Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="7236b91d255e1e0a69492f17bb23eaf4b9d71065267666e6f8cd16ccd74f1de4"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Lucero Acosta"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.20743773040372948"
market_implied_probability="0.19672131147540983"
edge="0.010716418928319649"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:19.175Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="6159809b874124ea27adcef0b67c842e4f21d87cfd211e3af4caef57334190e7"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Gamid Khizriev"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.8899784670410397"
market_implied_probability="0.9289617486338798"
edge="-0.03898328159284015"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:19.672Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="17085ef8c9a3511f3da04e0c8abe96fcd1a9035399f7c4a4d8a948e7ff35c463"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Michael Boylan"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.11002153295896037"
market_implied_probability="0.07103825136612023"
edge="0.03898328159284015"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:19.707Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="cc18afc632c1109f67de48abb450925312fa13338736c97b7d3061972debe94a"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Cobey Fehr"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.7870525440966012"
market_implied_probability="0.7900763358778625"
edge="-0.0030237917812613313"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:20.207Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="399258548bbefb1f38e847b2b1604866ac16f406c9b24e7bc9813e6e5309a3cc"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Rosario Romero"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.2129474559033987"
market_implied_probability="0.20992366412213742"
edge="0.003023791781261276"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:20.237Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="f2f6c6bfe5886e3387dbbbc5cde6ddc1472f4b14696ddedb6457fede6cc375eb"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Eliezer Kubanza"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.507667211020707"
market_implied_probability="0.5260865852617197"
edge="-0.018419374241012698"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:17.647Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="3f50d632ed66e0a2e75a05a99fd67c51a4b7c5c2d2d4de84a7a7c217efe245de"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Trey Waters"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.492332788979293"
market_implied_probability="0.47391341473828025"
edge="0.018419374241012754"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:17.705Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="14397419dc34d9c905b133b21db3acafe31de3d32e415e89a9dd16a81d695b0d"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Noah Hermosillo"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.6095371402077457"
market_implied_probability="0.6040343668285394"
edge="0.005502773379206349"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:21.672Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="62c6e007ccc11911f68b10003298a25699ff9c910ef098beba3e0e9a95e16880"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Caden Cox"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.39046285979225426"
market_implied_probability="0.3959656331714605"
edge="-0.005502773379206238"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:21.720Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="f6fdc5fc35607c0680112e02ddfc1b9e58d2a9a616d60c68eb3f1efb4cb8c6f6"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Levan Khabalaev"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.8088112152635698"
market_implied_probability="0.8443579766536964"
edge="-0.03554676139012658"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:20.726Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="30a7ac2aaff3f13ab0dd09c6a1ea736c2777fc2fd4ebf747a4c4652a8b813e55"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Brock Hamer"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.19118878473643028"
market_implied_probability="0.15564202334630348"
edge="0.0355467613901268"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-15T14:30:20.785Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="5f9792da080f63959e583fa218ee5b4a0f752511764d42e36c00027b4ac2e1a2"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.