UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Brendan Allen"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.5395287163646738"
market_implied_probability="0.5251558507721565"
edge="0.01437286559251727"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-09T23:55:16.245Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="b9f715774be71b354c671a7ec22286cc9558f4aba93ab2a671aaf8b3d819ff69"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Matheus Camilo"
tier="primary"
model_probability="0.7016005115021219"
market_implied_probability="0.6301020408163265"
edge="0.0714984706857954"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-09T23:55:16.634Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="af289cddeb0cc03722c096942d81bb2e7f790550759e8cf358d4c3d458db7c4f"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Jai Herbert"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.2983994884978781"
market_implied_probability="0.36989795918367335"
edge="-0.07149847068579523"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-09T23:55:16.674Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="30541749dcab45097a40e2da92381235d91a8ea63f59d413b80d752aca6ad12a"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Otari Tanzilovi"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.28752213187152575"
market_implied_probability="0.341221794166208"
edge="-0.05369966229468226"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:18.229Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="aa0eec6d7e502dda476f08a9b2aa4396747e9dba0982f48a86477ce5cdb5789f"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Malcolm Wellmaker"
tier="primary"
model_probability="0.7124778681284742"
market_implied_probability="0.6587782058337919"
edge="0.05369966229468237"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:18.196Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="f8cc383b77b39db2b47b2aece9cd6d87030a95419f5f19e935c1eb265fca5612"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Julius Walker"
tier="primary"
model_probability="0.7905070758729758"
market_implied_probability="0.730755954435623"
edge="0.05975112143735273"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:18.677Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="dfc697e8127beb808bced198d435e09f071db3b9deb86473cfeb180fbdc35cd1"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Gerald Meerschaert"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.20949292412702414"
market_implied_probability="0.2692440455643769"
edge="-0.05975112143735278"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:18.717Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="3ddc249d48e6ddae4052033da71446314572dd2557947e5aead3873e51e8e69d"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Ismael Bonfim"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.4031197926131632"
market_implied_probability="0.45381334992770467"
edge="-0.05069355731454145"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:19.248Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="c0bd1035329566b97805e692f0879986b88b4ecd643532744a74209b9a5b48c2"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Francisco Prado"
tier="primary"
model_probability="0.5968802073868368"
market_implied_probability="0.5461866500722953"
edge="0.050693557314541504"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:19.224Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="4f098f3bbe687aa6002d45cb759484640af4f5549ff75b01e65e9861b22a16b2"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Niko Price"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.3825529584454889"
market_implied_probability="0.4288195059715774"
edge="-0.0462665475260885"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:19.721Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="60757e7c6e9312e6163a41e572925b71a11b5ef973ba5d23e797dc4b72b01d9e"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Leon Shahbazyan"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.617447041554511"
market_implied_probability="0.5711804940284226"
edge="0.046266547526088386"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:19.746Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="e8e0925f1c7db6489407ddfb57a027402c7a3597d38712a2b50b045db13d0528"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Felipe Franco"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.803244066888566"
market_implied_probability="0.773351254242974"
edge="0.02989281264559196"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:20.256Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="85286b769c102afe31b68ba066419e8684883f21023ee389f5f6efde6f72c904"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Brendson Ribeiro"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.19675593311143397"
market_implied_probability="0.22664874575702604"
edge="-0.02989281264559207"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:20.279Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="f1fef695ebdb3b366910061c4b0804b94385194bc097586937b4b3618adf2b43"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="RJ Harris"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.7999976274271579"
market_implied_probability="0.7538376434794635"
edge="0.04615998394769438"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:20.791Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="1ab6029fca49e74a739c911ba3aa18f29e3230917fd725dd0701fc68a838aa72"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Allen Frye Jr."
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.20000237257284212"
market_implied_probability="0.24616235652053656"
edge="-0.04615998394769444"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:20.767Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="b32a63655a267c270c14aa4e54e4e721b414cbd668785b4cbb73f0171d1d7d47"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Loopy Godinez"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.716656809497049"
market_implied_probability="0.6750049241678157"
edge="0.04165188532923336"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:17.176Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="5116c47feb9e7ac38d9096b62e56278f1f6f5ba6d823b1019ba6b1c4f3058cc0"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Ketlen Souza"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.283343190502951"
market_implied_probability="0.3249950758321844"
edge="-0.04165188532923342"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:17.208Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="efd5ce637f197ec156b5acaed3664d30ace78d579c97493d1e8e0088d4c054fe"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Andre Fili"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.5721807514256416"
market_implied_probability="0.5686556434219985"
edge="0.0035251080036431404"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:17.672Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="36a0f0ce2534080dae0349947f5ca7fc0606f3930c6bd7bb03e0445f8fbfb413"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.

Receipt payload · five lines withheld

propsmath-receipt-v2
sport="mma"
event_id=[withheld]
market="moneyline"
outcome="Kai Kamaka III"
tier="below-threshold"
model_probability="0.42781924857435844"
market_implied_probability="0.43134435657800146"
edge="-0.0035251080036430293"
best_price_american=[withheld]
best_price_sportsbook=[withheld]
kelly_fraction=[withheld]
model_version="6beb2a31-620b-48be-a1e8-0210c1e7e0fd"
locked_at="2026-10-10T00:30:17.695Z"
nonce=[withheld]
analysis_snapshot_sha256="b7d1eb4f6da115e184db32f0c7c50af238584f77cbff58137a01f5690d345771"

These are the exact bytes the hash was taken over — UTF-8, newline-separated, no trailing newline — except five lines this public page withholds, each marked [withheld]: the card's internal ID, the best available price, the sportsbook that offered it, the Kelly fraction, and the nonce. The card's internal ID is withheld because on some cards it is another website's address. The nonce is withheld with the price, the sportsbook and the Kelly fraction because those figures have only a small number of possible values: with the nonce printed, anyone could recover them by trying each possibility against the hash. The hash above still covers all five real values, so it cannot be recomputed from this page alone. The field list is on the methodology page.