Archive · nothing edited after the fact
The archive is the product's receipts. One beam per bout — where PropsLock stood, where the market closed, and where the result landed. Green called it; oxblood missed it. Nothing is edited after the fact. See the rolling calibration record →
207 graded bouts across 21 cards · misses included
Correction (2026-07-17): 16 historical rows carried a market snapshot captured after their bouts had started. Those snapshots are now excluded from market comparisons; every PropsLock read and result remains on the record unchanged.
· 17 fights had no line and no PropsLock read
Forecasts were locked before each event and graded against the official result. Nothing edited or removed. PropsMath publishes analytical model probabilities for research and informational purposes. This is not a sportsbook. We do not accept wagers, hold customer funds, or facilitate betting. Past model performance does not predict future results. 21+.
JUL 11
UFC 330
8 / 10 called
Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor
✓ called
Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett
✕ Paddy Pimblett
Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista
market withheld
in-fight leg · 2026-07-17 correction
✕ Mario Bautista
Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh
market withheld
in-fight leg · 2026-07-17 correction
✓ called
Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov
no material move
✓ called
Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison
✓ called
Adrian Yanez vs Cody Garbrandt
✓ called
Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden
market withheld
in-fight leg · 2026-07-17 correction
✓ called
Farid Basharat vs John Garza
✓ called
Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida
✓ called
— vs —
pick withheld
bout sides could not be matched · result shown
King Green
— vs —
pick withheld
bout sides could not be matched · result shown
Luke Riley