Archive · counted reads, as published
The archive is the product's receipts: where PropsLock stood, the market where one is shown, and where the result landed, bout by bout. Green called it; oxblood missed it. A counted read stays on the record as it was published. See the rolling calibration record →
264 graded bouts across 27 cards · misses included
Correction (2026-07-17): 16 historical rows carried a market snapshot captured after their bouts had started. Those snapshots are now excluded from market comparisons. A counted read stays on the record as it was published.
· 43 fights had no line and no PropsLock read
Every read is timestamped. We grade counted reads against the official result, and a counted read stays on the record as it was published. MMA reads first recorded after their card’s recorded start time are shown as not counted. PropsMath publishes analytical model probabilities for research and informational purposes. This is not a sportsbook. We do not accept wagers, hold customer funds, or facilitate betting. Past model performance does not predict future results. 21+.
SEP 26
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos
0 / 0 called
9 reads on this card were written after the card's recorded start and are not counted.
Recorded mid-card, not counted
These reads were written to the record after their card's recorded start, so the "locked before the card" claim does not hold for them. They stay on the record with their figures and results, and they count in no tally, calibration figure or card verdict.
Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos
PropsLock favored Raul Rosas Jr. at 61% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Raul Rosas Jr. · not counted
Ailin Perez vs Norma Dumont
PropsLock favored Ailin Perez at 64% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Ailin Perez · not counted
Luis Hernandez vs Sedriques Dumas
PropsLock favored Luis Hernandez at 72% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Luis Hernandez · not counted
Valesca Machado vs Melissa Amaya
PropsLock favored Valesca Machado at 66% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Valesca Machado · not counted
Rinya Nakamura vs Brady Hiestand
PropsLock favored Rinya Nakamura at 78% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Brady Hiestand · not counted
Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek
PropsLock favored Rodolfo Vieira at 62% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Rodolfo Vieira · not counted
Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards
PropsLock favored Rodolfo Bellato at 64% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Christian Edwards · not counted
Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon
PropsLock favored Montel Jackson at 69% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Montel Jackson · not counted
Yazmin Jauregui vs Vanessa Demopoulos
PropsLock favored Yazmin Jauregui at 84% · recorded Sat, Sep 26, 5:04 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM EDT) · result: Yazmin Jauregui · not counted