Archive · counted reads, as published
The archive is the product's receipts: where PropsLock stood, the market where one is shown, and where the result landed, bout by bout. Green called it; oxblood missed it. A counted read stays on the record as it was published. See the rolling calibration record →
264 graded bouts across 27 cards · misses included
Correction (2026-07-17): 16 historical rows carried a market snapshot captured after their bouts had started. Those snapshots are now excluded from market comparisons. A counted read stays on the record as it was published.
· 43 fights had no line and no PropsLock read
Every read is timestamped. We grade counted reads against the official result, and a counted read stays on the record as it was published. MMA reads first recorded after their card’s recorded start time are shown as not counted. PropsMath publishes analytical model probabilities for research and informational purposes. This is not a sportsbook. We do not accept wagers, hold customer funds, or facilitate betting. Past model performance does not predict future results. 21+.
SEP 12
Noche UFC: Silva vs Delgado
0 / 0 called
12 reads on this card were written after the card's recorded start and are not counted.
Recorded mid-card, not counted
These reads were written to the record after their card's recorded start, so the "locked before the card" claim does not hold for them. They stay on the record with their figures and results, and they count in no tally, calibration figure or card verdict.
Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado
PropsLock favored Jean Silva at 82% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Jean Silva · not counted
Joseph Morales vs Brandon Moreno
PropsLock favored Joseph Morales at 53% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Brandon Moreno · not counted
Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki
PropsLock favored Tommy McMillen at 61% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Tommy McMillen · not counted
Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso
PropsLock favored Manon Fiorot at 76% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Alexa Grasso · not counted
Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes
PropsLock favored Waldo Cortes Acosta at 67% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Curtis Blaydes · not counted
David Martinez vs Dan Ige
PropsLock favored David Martinez at 82% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: David Martinez · not counted
Édgar Cháirez vs Tim Elliott
PropsLock favored Édgar Cháirez at 70% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Tim Elliott · not counted
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov
PropsLock favored Ignacio Bahamondes at 83% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Ignacio Bahamondes · not counted
Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos
PropsLock favored Yousri Belgaroui at 84% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Yousri Belgaroui · not counted
Thomas Gantt vs Drakkar Klose
PropsLock favored Thomas Gantt at 82% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Thomas Gantt · not counted
Sean King vs Jessie Rosas
PropsLock favored Sean King at 70% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Sean King · not counted
Regina Tarin vs JJ Aldrich
PropsLock favored Regina Tarin at 80% · recorded Sat, Sep 12, 2:03 PM EDT, after the card's recorded start (Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM EDT) · result: Regina Tarin · not counted